Wind and Solar Power Forecasting
Wind and Solar generation have experienced significant growth in Alberta in recent years.
The Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) is taking steps to ensure we can maintain a reliable grid while integrating increasing penetrations of variable wind and solar power onto the system.
The AESO has implemented a centralized power forecast for use in daily grid operations, allowing for better utilization of power from wind and solar generation while also helping to improve dispatch efficiency and system reliability.
A centralized power forecast benefits system operations by enabling:
- More efficient dispatch of the system – With a centralized power forecast, System Operators have access to detailed information about where, when, and approximately how much electricity will be produced by wind and solar plants in Alberta.
- Greater situational awareness – The wind and solar forecast enhances the AESO’s ability to prepare for wind-ramp events that can occur when chinooks, or other high-wind events, are predicted.
Wind and Solar Power Forecasting
- The forecasts are based on the currently installed wind and solar capacity listed on our Current Supply and Demand
- The 12-hour power forecast updates every 10 minutes.
- The 7-day-ahead power forecast updates every hour.
Download the Forecast Data
Wind-12 hour | Wind-7 day | Solar-12 hour | Solar-7 day | Wind & Solar Combined 12 hour | 7 day
**To download the data above, right-click on the link and "save link as". Select "keep" when the browser prompts you.
Wind and Solar Actual vs Forecast Data
Raw Data
· As more renewable capacity is installed, the forecast error, as a percentage of capacity, is expected to stay the same or improve. However, the absolute forecast error volume will increase in proportion to the increased capacity.
· Forecast errors are often skewed toward over-forecasted renewable generation due to unpredicted curtailments, such as supply surplus events or transmission constraints, which inflate the overall error. Forecast errors could also result due to behind-the-fence energy storage component located at some the renewable facilities.
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2025
- Wind Data 2025[Posted: December 3, 2025]
- Solar Data 2025[Posted: December 3, 2025]
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2024
- Solar Data 2024[Posted: November 20, 2025]
- Wind Data 2024[Posted: November 20, 2025]
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2023
- Solar Data 2023[Posted: November 20, 2025]
- Wind Data 2023[Posted: November 20, 2025]
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2022
- Solar Data 2022[Posted: November 20, 2025]
- Wind Data 2022[Posted: November 20, 2025]
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2021
- December 2021[Posted: October 4, 2022]
- November 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- October 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- September 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- August 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- July 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- June 2021[Posted: December 16, 2021]
- May 2021[Posted: June 23, 2021]
- April 2021[Posted: June 23, 2021]
- March 2021[Posted: June 23, 2021]
- February 2021[Posted: March 22, 2021]
- January 2021[Posted: February 12, 2021]
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2020
- December 2020[Posted: January 13, 2021]
- November 2020[Posted: December 11, 2020]
- October 2020[Posted: November 12, 2020]
- September 2020[Posted: October 9, 2020]
- August 2020[Posted: September 17, 2020]
- July 2020[Posted: August 6, 2020]
- June 2020[Posted: July 14, 2020]
- May 2020[Posted: July 16, 2020]
- April 2020[Posted: May 11, 2020]
- March 2020[Posted: April 15, 2020]
- February 2020[Posted: March 10, 2020]
- January 2020[Posted: February 14, 2020]